Foreign media reported that Daryl Plummer, executive vice president and research director of Gartner, recently made a prediction on the development trend of science and technology in the next 6 years at the Symposium/ITExpo seminar. Daryl Plummer believes that by 2019, 20% of brands will abandon mobile apps and use web browser-based instant apps. By 2020, there will be 100 million people worldwide will be shopping through Augmented Reality (AR) technology, and 30% of Web browsing will be conducted through voice assistants such as Siri. By 2021, 20% of personal activities will involve at least one of the seven digital giants: Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent.
Forecast of Science and Technology Development Trends in the Next 6 Years
By 2020, 100 million people will be through augmented reality (AR) shopping
Daryl Plummer said that "Pokemon GO" game gives us an understanding of augmented reality (AR). One of the first commercial applications based on AR should be providing consumers with AR helmets after entering retail stores. It can provide consumers with more product information, thus eliminating the introduction of sales representatives. From 2017, leading retailers will be the first to deploy this technology.
By 2020, 30% of Web browsing will no longer depend on the screen
Future Web browsing will be performed by voice assistants such as Amazon Alexa or Apple Siri because their ability to understand natural language will increase dramatically. Daryl Plummer said that when people talk to these voice assistants, they will even spend more time chatting with their spouse.
By 2019, 20% of brands will abandon mobile apps
Daryl Plummer said: “The companies that provide applications are thinking: There will be millions of people downloading their applications. But in reality, people will not download them. Development applications are already two to three years ago. Now that we're tired of apps, the usage of apps is falling.†Instead of letting users continue to update apps on their devices, Gartner recommends that people launch “instant apps†through web browsers.
By 2020, the algorithm will change the work of billions of workers worldwide
In the future, companies will create algorithms based on behavioral, psychological, social, and cognitive sciences that will allow employees to do their jobs better. For example, artificial intelligence has helped pilots drive more fuel-efficiently, helping financial advisors avoid misinvestment. With the promotion of artificial intelligence, the company's profitability will increase significantly by 2017.
By 2022, there will be a $10 billion blockchain company born
Daryl Plummer said: "Blockchain technology is not yet mature, but when it matures, it will save a lot of costs for various industry transactions." Blockchain technology is applicable to many industries, especially healthcare, real estate And finance. Beginning next year, companies will begin deploying "multi-modal" blockchains.
By 2021, 20% of personal activities will involve at least one of the 7 digital giants
The seven digital giants are Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon, Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent. Daryl Plummer said: "The business of these 7 companies will involve all aspects of our daily life." By the end of 2017, at least two digital giants will appear in our kitchen.
From now until 2019, companies will need an implementation cost of $7 for every dollar they invest in innovation.
For companies seeking to innovate and transform, the old IT equipment must first be upgraded, which is very costly. In addition, new and unfamiliar technologies such as machine learning are also needed. Deploying new technologies also means improving the skills of employees.
By 2018, the Internet of Things will lead to a 3% increase in data storage requirements
It is expected that the Internet of Things will show explosive growth in the coming years. Therefore, Gartner's prediction seems counterintuitive. But Daryl Plummer believes that in the future most of the data generated by IoT sensors and devices will not be stored or retained, but rather algorithms will determine which data is stored.
By 2022, the Internet of Things will save consumers and businesses $1 trillion annually
The savings are mainly concentrated on maintenance, service and consumer products. One of the early applications of the Internet of Things was the creation of "Digital Twin", a software model of physical assets or processes. The machine's operating conditions and any environmental factors can be linked, allowing companies to predict their operations and quickly adjust Schools, continue to upgrade, improve reliability and adaptability, create more value. Daryl Plummer predicts that predictive maintenance can reduce costs by 10% to 20% for companies.
By 2020, 40% of employees will reduce health care costs by wearing health trackers
By then, companies will equip their employees with health trackers to improve the overall health of their employees. As a result, they can pay less for medical insurance. Gartner expects that by 2018, 2 million employees will wear health trackers as entry conditions.
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