Recently, the China Electricity Council announced the first quarter of the power supply and demand and economic situation analysis and forecast report that in the first quarter, affected by the rapid growth of power installed capacity, and through cross-regional cross-provincial power balance, the national power supply and demand situation continues to ease, mainly The performance is the overall basic balance, the power shortage range is significantly reduced, and the power shortage is significantly reduced, which is basically a short-term, partial power shortage. Due to the influence of factors such as incoming water, coal supply, power supply tripping and overhaul, and power grid “card neckâ€, the short-term gap or power-limiting situation of power is more prominent.
The trend of “heavy-duty†electricity structure is obvious
In the first quarter, the total electricity consumption of the whole society was 718.912 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 14.92%, and the growth rate was 3.11 percentage points higher than the same period of last year. Among them, the electricity consumption of the three industries and urban and rural residents increased by 3.5%, 16.86%, 10.77% and 8.85% respectively. The growth rate of the secondary industry increased by 5.55 percentage points over the same period of last year, and the contribution rate of the secondary industry (84.55%) continued to increase. . In the first quarter, the national industrial electricity consumption was 540.16 billion kWh, an increase of 16.83% year-on-year, an increase of 5.51 percentage points over the same period of last year; the electricity consumption of light and heavy industries increased by 11.49% and 18.10% respectively, up by 2.09 and 6.31 respectively over the same period of last year. percentage point. The proportion of industrial electricity consumption in the whole society has increased from 71.75% in 2000 to 74.89% in 2006, and has increased to 75.12% in the first quarter of this year. The trend of heavy industrialization of electricity consumption structure is very obvious.
At this stage, the growth of electricity consumption in key industries is still very fast, and it is mainly concentrated in fixed assets investment products, energy products, consumer products and equipment manufacturing. The main reasons for the excessive growth of electricity consumption in key industries are as follows: China's macro economy has maintained rapid development, especially the large-scale environment in which fixed asset investment continues to grow at a large scale, which determines that key industries must maintain a relatively fast development speed; The staged characteristics of industrialization, urbanization, modernization and accelerated upgrading of consumption structure also determine that there must be a process of accelerating development in key industries; domestic and international market demand is also greatly stimulated and mutually driven by key industries. Rapid growth; in the first quarter of last year, especially in January-February, some of the production capacity was in a state of suspension, and the output and electricity consumption of the products were relatively low. After the production and expansion, the production capacity was released and accelerated in the first quarter of this year. The growth rate of production and electricity consumption of major products in the first quarter of this year seems to be relatively high; after several years of rapid development, the external and basic conditions of industrial production (coal, oil, oil, etc.), especially the power supply conditions have been greatly improved. It has greatly satisfied the demand for electricity in industrial production and promoted the rapid development of industrial production.
Suppress unreasonable demand
In the first quarter, the national economy, various products and power consumption grew at a high speed, and the growth rate exceeded the expectations of all relevant parties. Such a high growth rate has exerted tremendous pressure on China's energy conservation and emission reduction work, and it also contradicts the constraints of resources and environment. Development is destined to be unsustainable and has attracted the attention of the state, relevant departments and agencies.
The China Electricity Council proposes to adopt certain economic, legal and administrative measures to control demand as much as possible in the speed and scale of scientific development: First, strictly control land, credit gates and market access thresholds, continue to control overcapacity and high consumption, The development of heavy pollution industry, strict control of new high-energy-consuming projects, especially the strict control of unreasonable investment, try to change the expansionary growth mode of investing in large industries and large projects to stimulate the economy, and expand the demand for end products; Technical and economic standards for market access, strengthen industry access management, speed up the elimination of backward production capacity, reduce energy consumption by reducing product unit consumption level, and achieve coordinated development of social reproduction at a higher level of productivity. Third, shift investment focus Technological transformation and structural adjustment have come up to replace the current development mode of simply expanding production capacity in various ways such as technological transformation and large-scale pressure reduction; Fourth, improve import and export policies and strictly control the export of high-energy, high-pollution and resource-based products; It is to cultivate end-users' awareness of energy conservation and environmental protection, reduce waste of resources, and reduce consumption of end products. Before May 1st, the relevant departments of the central government have introduced a series of policies to regulate and control, and other measures are being studied and will be implemented.
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